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What after May 3, 2020 ?
4/24/2020 11:22:19 PM
Mahadeepsingh Jamwal

A populous curiosity in civic territory over time is gaining energy as “what after May 3, 2020”, when the ‘Lockdown-2’ will exhaust its duration. The analysis of the lockdown initially as ‘Janta Curfew’ and then virtual limiting movement of the entire 1.3 billion population of India as a preventive measure against the 2020 corona virus pandemic to 21 days and further extension of it till May 3, 2020, pursued by enforcement of a series of regulations, carry us to many know-how. The lockdown was placed when the number of confirmed positive corona virus cases in India was approximately 500, whereas the number of lives claimed is 640 and positive cases rapidly nearing the 20,000 mark (data updated as on 21 April 2020. The Indian economy already on a very concerning downward trajectory, fallen to low as 4.5 per cent in Q2 FY20 and slipped further owing to COVID-19. The immediate economic and market impacts of the corona virus have been on India’s financial markets as well as the rupee, which hit a new low vis-à-vis the US dollar in March. India's already-slowing economy weakened to at least an eight-year low this quarter and will slow even more sharply in the next six months due to the global corona virus pandemic, a Reuter’s poll found in a survey in March 2020. Ill planned lockdown (Although need of the hour) has created chaos among the migrated labor class and all claims of various governments in providing them free food and shelter is proving to be hoax bombs being blasted on TV channels only and practically the police containing this fraternity by brutal use of batons. The lockdown has pushed the country into a socioeconomic dilemma but the observers react that it has slowed the growth rate of the pandemic.
This situation is likely to ease some restrictions in lockdown after May 3, 2020. It is paramount for us to perceive that getting things open again will increment the risks of singulars contracting COVID-19, and there is no way to completely warden against that in the absence of any vaccine yet. Come what may, we can expect respite after May 3, only if the number of new cases has declined, rapid diagnostic testing capacity is sufficient to test, and there is identification of almost all people with COVID-19 symptoms, as well as close contacts. There are still many gaps in scientific understanding about the transmission dynamics of COVID-19.
Far-reaching compromise around reopening has the probability to be immensely beneficial but also carry the possibility for unintentional harm. Reopening businesses and other sectors represents one of many steps that will need to be taken to revitalize communities. The other burning issue required to be tackled is the migratory labor longing to go their homes and it will definitely get respite after May 3. Although no states are ready to lift physical distancing measures, there is immense need to get back to business as usual, and these developments have prompted questions around how to reopen in individual states, when it becomes safer to do so. It will be essential for each state to make informed decisions about how to carefully move from a strict physical distancing phase to reopening phase. Different parts of the country face varying levels of risk because of corona and have different resources available to confront these uncertainties. Arbitrary decisions by the center are not in consonance with the local requirements hence this option should be exercised by the States/UT themselves. It is not the appropriate time to project ones image as only God at this juncture but every State/UT administration itself are the Demi-Gods in their jurisdiction. Instead of decision from centre, (that too claimed after detail discussions with State/UT governments) there is need to be decisions at the State/UT level about how to transition out of strict physical distancing into a phased reopening. State-level decision makers will need to make choices based on the individual situations experienced in their states, risk levels, and resource assessments. They should make these decisions in consultation with community stakeholder groups for better results. These decisions will need to be accompanied by clear and transparent communication to gain community engagement around the greatly anticipated reopening. Individuals, businesses, and communities have a role to play in taking actions to protect themselves and those around them during this time. This way, decision at State/UT level will give ample opportunity to central government to focus on other most required issues. Let the center be in watch dog role and it should focus in maintaining, across the country, the chain supply of essential commodities, medicines and required flow of monetary provisions. It should take decisions regarding allowing railway movement and air traffic to the states in consultation with State/UT administration. Moreover operation of central government departments, institutions and corporations directly under central government should also be allowed to be operated under the instructions of the local administration, responsible to ease the populace from sufferings because of corona pandemic. The sectors/activities that yet require no relaxation are: nonessential businesses, schools and childcare facilities, outdoor as well as community gathering spaces, transportation, mass gatherings, and interpersonal gatherings. Come what may, it is the time to tune our self according to the changing scenarios and the opinions that corona will continue to haunt us for a long time; maintaining safe distance should be adopted by us as a part of our daily life and prayers to strengthen us to beat this impasse.
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