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Cong to win 6 to 8 seats, NC 10 to 16, says a pre-poll survey
PDP, BJP in commanding position
11/12/2014 11:57:16 PM
Rustam
Early Times Report
JAMMU, Nov 12: The general view in Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh is that the unpopular Congress and the National Conference would bite dust in the scheduled Assembly elections appears to be a correct. On Tuesday, NewsX and India News broadcasted the findings of the pre-poll survey, which was conducted by C-Voters for these two leading national news channels. The findings were on expected lines.
The pre-poll survey said that if elections are held today in J&K, the Congress would get 6 to 8 seats and its coalition partner, the NC, would win 10 to 16 seats. In other words, both the parties would share between them 16 to 24 seats in the 87-member House. In the 2008 Assembly elections, the Congress had won 17 and the NC 28. If the findings of the pre-poll survey come true - and why should they not - then it can be said that both the Congress and the NC would become a marginal political players in the state.
These findings of the pre-poll survey should not surprise anyone. Similarly, the findings of this latest pre-poll survey should vindicate those who had been claiming that the real contest this time in the state was between the PDP and the BJP. According to the pre-poll survey, the PDP is likely to win 27 to 33 seats. In the 2008 Assembly elections, the PDP had won 21 seats - 19 in Kashmir and 2 in Jammu province. In other words, the PDP is likely to increase its tally by about 10 seats. As for the BJP, it could win 23 to 29 seats. In the 2008 Assembly elections, the BJP had won 11 seats. In other words, the BJP, like the PDP, will also increase its tally substantially.
The prevailing political situation in the state suggests that the Congress and the NC would lose more space to their arch-rivals in Kashmir and Jammu province as the election process gains more momentum. In any case, the PDP and the BJP are all set to inflict a crushing defeat on the Congress and the NC.
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